Instant View: Reactions to attack on Saudi oil facilities

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Instant View: Reactions to attack on Saudi oil facilities
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Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi group on Saturday attacked two plants at the Ab...

- Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi group on Saturday attacked two plants at the Abqaiq plant, the heart of Saudi Arabia’s oil industry, in a strike that could impact about 5 million barrels per day of crude production - close to half of the kingdom’s output or 5% of global oil supply.

“Many countries have strategic stocks for exactly this reason. The price is going to jump all right, but the Saudis and U.S. have a day to run interference on their positions before then. The most scary result would be a Saudi escalation of the war in Yemen. Then the whole Gulf gets trigger-happy.”“Abqaiq is perhaps the most critical facility in the world for oil supply.

“Asian countries are more at immediate risk because they are the big importers from Saudi Arabia, with 80% of Saudi exports going to East Asia. For the United States, the main threat is in the price of oil, it’s not in the immediate supply. “Speculative positioning in the financial markets are very low and inventories have been rapidly declining, especially in the past couple of months - oil prices may have risen even without this disruption.”“Crude oil should rally, the only question is by how much. There’s ample OPEC producer spare capacity to absorb what looks like a temporary glitch. A good analogy could be the drop in spot crude oil when John Bolton got fired, which removed a perceived geopolitical risk premium.

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