Israel and Hamas have agreed to a ceasefire. It doesn’t guarantee a peaceful end to a devastating war

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Israel and Hamas have agreed to a ceasefire. It doesn’t guarantee a peaceful end to a devastating war
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After 467 days of violence, Israel and Hamas have agreed to a detailed peace plan. But with more negotiating ahead, the future is far from certain.

After 467 days of violence, a ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel has been reached and will come into effect on Sunday, pending Israel i government approval.

In structure and content, this ceasefire closely resembles numerous others that have been proposed over the past year, including the 7+2 day truce agreed in November 2023. There will also be a temporary suspension of air activity in the Gaza Strip, particularly when hostages are released. This will begin the long task of rebuilding the strip’s decimated infrastructure, including hospitals, clinics and bakeries .

Over the past 12 months, Hamas has agreed to the text of a ceasefire a number of times only to have the terms altered by Israel and no agreement reached.But because of the power differential, it has been relatively unsuccessful in pressuring Israel to agree to its demands. These type of strangle contracts happened during the Syrian civil war too. There, they were branded as reconciliation agreements.

For similar deals that were previously on the table, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made clear he would continue the war to destroy Hamas after the initial phase. We also do not know how this ceasefire will affect Israel’s calculus in the West Bank, or in Lebanon and its fragile ceasefire with Hezbollah. In Lebanon, attacks continue to happen daily with both sides accusing each other of violating the agreement. The first phase of that ceasefire agreement, lasting 60 days, is scheduled to end on 26 January 2025.

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