Israel’s double-punch humiliation of Hezbollah is a dance on the edge of an abyss

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Israel’s double-punch humiliation of Hezbollah is a dance on the edge of an abyss
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Tactical daring keeps Netanyahu on the front foot but risks lurch into full-blown war

Mourners in Beirut carry the coffin of one of the victims of pagers that exploded across Lebanon a day earlier.Mourners in Beirut carry the coffin of one of the victims of pagers that exploded across Lebanon a day earlier.is a one-two punch that drives home the extent of Israel’s penetration of its Shia foe’s defences across its northern border.

The hope of the Biden administration and other brokers in the region is that a negotiated ceasefire in Gaza would also defuse tensions on the Israel-Lebanon border, allowing displaced Israelis to return without further escalation. No such ceasefire has materialised, however, while the talk of a new Israeli war in Lebanon has gathered momentum.

While there are manoeuvres in the corridors of the Knesset, there are few signs of corresponding offensive deployments on the Lebanese border. Israel Defense Forces units continue to be rotated out of Gaza to go north, but they are exhausted and in insufficient numbers to launch a ground attack. The detonating devices in Lebanon offer Netanyahu the benefits of a spectacular, daring success, showing he is taking the battle to the enemy in the north, in the knowledge that Hezbollah, and its Iranian backers, have looked anxious to avoid being drawn into a full-scale war with Israel.

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