If this year’s midterms buck historical trends and the Democrats don’t suffer significant losses in Congress, Dobbs is the reason why.
and the repressive laws in some states have “the ability to motivate some cohorts of voters who wouldn’t have turned out without this happening,” said Cate Gormley, vice president of research at Lake Research Partners. “This can persuade some voters who’re still trying to make a decision about how they’re going to vote.”
In Michigan, where lawmakers are trying to revive a 1931 law that makes abortion a felony, women are out-registering men by 8.1 percentage points, and Democrats are out-registering Republicans by 18 percentage points, according to TargetSmart. Add to this the increased sense of insecurity that Americans may be experiencing today. The recent increase in mass shootings in the U.S. is also“For Democrats, the top two issues are abortion and shootings—safety,” Undem said. “It’s about power and control. Conservative religious politicians … are restricting one right while having no rules on another right. Both issues signal the type of country you want. The direction we’re heading is not the direction most voters want.
Democratic Senate candidate in Pennsylvania, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, is leading his Republican challenger. In Florida, Democrat Rep. Val Demings is chasing sitting Republican Sen. Marco Rubio 44-48 in a race that had been predicted to go easily to the incumbent.sincewas overturned. In Wisconsin, according to TargetSmart, there was a 16 percent gap in favor of women. And in Florida there was a 5 percent gap.
This is a trend Undem saw when she conducted a survey in January. “We asked, among voters 18-44, ‘Do you plan to have children, and in an ideal world would you want to?’ Fifty-three percent said they would want to, but only 30 percent plan to do so. Then we asked, ‘Can you imagine a situation where abortion could be a good option?’ Sixty-seven percent of women said yes.
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