My best guess is a breakaway would occur somewhere in that 2030 to 2034 range. It's just a matter of who will or won't be included.
These 28 — which include 11 Big Ten, nine SEC, four ACC, three Big 12 and Notre Dame — would feed into a 12-team Playoff, with the top two in each division plus four wild cards qualifying.I kind of ran out of natural options around 25, but it needed to be an even number that fed into a 12-team Playoff.TV ratings. National fan base size. A little bit of recent on-field success.
Someone has to lose. Don’t you think fans will get sick of this when their teams that usually go 10-2 start going 7-5? Or when half of these teams finish below .500? Perhaps. Then again, Cleveland Browns fans keep showing up year after year. Fan loyalty is pretty darn resilient.It’s up to the schools how they allocate the revenue derived from this behemoth. Some might opt to reinvest most or all of it in football. Others might keep much the same model they have now, where the surplus revenue from football covers the cost of its non-revenue sports.In theory, that would be fun.
Subscribe to The Athletic for in-depth coverage of your favorite players, teams, leagues and clubs. Try a week on us.is editor-in-chief of The Athletic's college football coverage. He has been a national college football writer for two decades with Sports Illustrated and Fox Sports. He co-hosts"The Audible" podcast with Bruce Feldman.
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