Italy's rightist bloc led by Giorgia Meloni is strongly expected to win Sunday's election but voter sentiment has shifted in the last two weeks and surprises should not be ruled out, pollsters say.
Since publication of opinion polls was banned two weeks ago the left-leaning, unaligned 5-Star Movement appears to have made significant progress while the rightist League is struggling, according to seven pollsters interviewed by Reuters.
"Nothing should be ruled out," said Renato Mannheimer, head of the Eumetra polling agency. "I would put the likelihood of a rightist majority at 60-65%, which has shrunk from about 80% three weeks ago." Its victory was considered assured because of divisions on the left, in particular the collapse shortly before campaigning began of an alliance between the PD and former Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte's 5-Star Movement.
Conte has moved 5-Star to the left and seems to be reaping the rewards of a campaign focused on vigorously defending its flagship "citizens' income" poverty relief scheme whose beneficiaries are concentrated in southern Italy.
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