Japan general election: what would it take for the ruling LDP party to be ousted?

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Japan general election: what would it take for the ruling LDP party to be ousted?
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Corruption scandals, an economic crisis and widespread leader dissatisfaction have dogged the party yet it remains in contention. All eyes are now on whether it will secure a majority

Japanese prime minister Shigeru Ishiba, left, delivers a speech alongside an LDP candidate at the start of official election campaigning in Japan on Tuesday. The election takes place on 27 October.Japanese prime minister Shigeru Ishiba, left, delivers a speech alongside an LDP candidate at the start of official election campaigning in Japan on Tuesday. The election takes place on 27 October.

However, a new poll by the Nikkei suggests the party could fail to secure a majority – a result that the business newspaper says would “potentially set the stage for political turmoil not seen since 2009”, which is the last time the party lost a lower house election. Analysts attributed the DPJ’s victory to fallout from the 2008 global financial crisis, a growing income gap, a damaging scandal over the loss of millions of pension records and the LDP’s deeply unpopular prime minister, Taro Aso, whose cabinet approval rating going into the election sank to just over 16%.

That would “not only fundamentally undermine his claims to be an electoral asset for the party … but would also compromise any efforts to clean up and modernise the party and unify it under his leadership”, Harris said.

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