History's lesson is that the election of a black woman to the White House goes against the odds and would be a huge break in an almost unbroken conga line of white men. But, of course, it is possible.
During the next few days, you'll read and hear plenty of predictions about the US presidential election result.
Revealing my own bias, I'd suggest that cold hard numbers and the evidence of history — whilst not infallible — offer a more reliable steer than gut instinct or the latest trending topic. History's lesson is that the election of a black woman to the White House goes against the odds and would be a huge break in an almost unbroken conga line of white men.
My subjective take is that the most useful data to look at this year relates to race. Racial demographics offer a very powerful indicator of political allegiance and play a critical role in US election outcomes, as the last four presidential races demonstrate.in the United States by race is white people. They're powerful not just because of their numbers but also because of their reliability: they're the demographicon election day .
Some of these people may be in play because they are disgusted by Donald Trump — the only reason they could ever stomach voting Democrat . She can win without securing a white majority but only if she carries a very significant majority of minorities. . Compared to Biden in 2020, she has dropped 15 per cent support in that demographic. They appear to have gone to Donald Trump who has picked up 15 per cent.
United States Presidential Election Donald Trump Kamala Harris Polls Who Will Win US Election Democrats Republicans ABC News Leigh Sales
Australia Latest News, Australia Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
Kamala Harris seeks to gain election edge over Donald Trump with media blitzVice president begins week-long run of media appearances as polling continues to show race is too close to call
Read more »
Donald Trump rules out second debate with Kamala HarrisRepublican presidential nominee vows ‘no rematch’ before election in all-caps Truth Social post after he was widely judged to have lost first debate
Read more »
Donald Trump to speak at Hispanic event as Kamala Harris releases medical reportThe Republican and Democratic presidential candidates are campaigning with election day just over three weeks away
Read more »
‘Something very wrong’: Donald Trump’s wild Kamala Harris request ahead of electionDonald Trump has made a wild claim about his opposition in the upcoming election, calling for Vice President Kamala Harris to undergo a cognitive test.
Read more »
Kamala Harris brands Donald Trump a 'risk for America' after former president's 'enemy within' commentsPresidential candidate Kamala Harris has told supporters a second Donald Trump term would have 'brutally serious' consequences after the former president made ominous comments about an 'enemy within'.
Read more »
Donald Trump stands by pet-eating claims as Kamala Harris grilled over immigrationImmigration continues to be a hot-button issue in the 2024 US presidential election with former president Donald Trump standing by his debunked comments about immigrants eating household pets and vice president Kamala Harris facing a combative television interview over her administration's handling of illegal immigration.
Read more »