With temperatures expected to plummet to -20C or lower, Russian troops could be most vulnerable
visited China nine times in a week at the end of November, with some turning off their flight-tracking devices. Orysia Lutsevych, from the Chatham House thinktank, said there were “rumours that the planes contained winter clothing for troops” to help Russia make up for domestic shortfalls.
Meanwhile, the situation on the battlefield resembles that of May and June. In Donbas, the fighting then was in Sievierodonetsk and is now in nearby Bakhmut, where up to 20,000 Russian troops relocated from now-abandoned Kherson are reinforcing a renewed effort to take the city in an artillery-led offensive. Here, the invaders appear to be finally making gradual advances to the east and south of the city.
Defending Bakhmut will be costly but Ukraine’s commanders are likely to be happy to try to let the Russians wear themselves out in the fight while, as happened in September, probing across the length of the front for thinly held areas. Tentative reports of withdrawals in Zaporizhzhia, noted by the, “may suggest that Russian forces cannot defend critical areas amidst increasing Ukrainian strikes”, although it is hard to be certain.
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