Labor has retained a strong national lead over the Coalition but has lost ground in Queensland during six months of political dispute over the cost of living, cutting support in a key state that has also shifted against the Indigenous Voice.
, which the Liberal National Party holds with a two-party vote of 60.6 per cent. Albanese is seeking a swing to Labor to highlight a shift away from Dutton and his party in the wider community.
The party has also held its ground in Victoria, where it drove its primary vote from 33 per cent at the election to 42 per cent in the December quarter and kept it at 42 per cent in the June quarter. Labor’s primary vote in Queensland rose from 27 per cent at the May election to 37 per cent in the December quarter but fell to 34 per cent in the June quarter.
Labor’s primary vote in SA rose from 35 per cent at the May election to 46 per cent in the December quarter and was steady at 46 per cent in the June quarter. While Greens leader Adam Bandt is campaigning against the government on housing, with a door-knocking appeal for greater action than Labor’s $10 billion housing fund, that strategy is yet to deliver a national gain. This can be difficult to measure because changes in the Greens’ vote are almost always within the margin of error for national polls.
Because the quarterly sample size of 4587 is three times the size of the monthly Resolve Political Monitor, the margin of error in the quarterly analysis is 1.4 per cent for the national primary vote. It is higher, however, for the state results.The survey periods included debates about help for single mothers and the unemployed before the May budget, the announcement of higher tobacco taxes and a $5.7 billion spending increase on Medicare, the unveiling of a forecast $4.
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