A new poll reveals a significant drop in support for the Labor Party in NSW and Victoria, raising concerns about their chances at the upcoming election.
Voters have cut their support for Labor in the nation’s two most populous states and swung strongly against the party in the battleground of Western Australia, heightening the prospect of an election swing that wipes away the government’s majority in parliament. The trend has cut the government’s primary vote from 33 to 29 per cent in both NSW and Victoria since the last election, putting Labor on course for defeat in key electorates unless it stages a dramatic turnaround next year.
Monique Westermann Victorian voters have given the Coalition its biggest boost in support since the 2022 election among the mainland states, lifting its primary vote from 33 to 38 per cent, while NSW voters have increased their Coalition support from 37 to 38 per cent. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has kept his personal edge over Opposition Leader Peter Dutton in the two biggest states when voters are asked to name their preferred prime minister, ahead by 38 to 36 per cent in NSW and 36 to 34 per cent in Victoria. But the exclusive findings, conducted for this masthead by Resolve Strategic, show the two leaders are closely matched at a national level, with 37 per cent support for Albanese and 36 per cent for Dutton. The quarterly analysis of the Resolve Political Monitor is based on responses from 4831 voters from October to December 2024, continuing the trend seen in the previous quarter andResolve director Jim Reed said the latest results confirmed his view that Labor wouldat the election unless there was a significant change in popular support in the months ahead. The most recent monthly Resolve Political Monitor showed the Coalition had 51 per cent support in two-party terms, slightly ahead of Labor on 49 per cent, assuming preferences flowed as they did at the previous election. The gap between the two is within the margin of error for the survey, leading Reed to warn of the volatility in the electorat
Labor Party Election Coalition Anthony Albanese Peter Dutton NSW Victoria
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