Late-season heat may hit weekend sport and break temperature records across eastern Australia

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Late-season heat may hit weekend sport and break temperature records across eastern Australia
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Sydney and Brisbane have been sweltering through unseasonal warmth and Melbourne is forecast to cop 37C on Saturday

The strength of the sea breeze may determine whether any western suburbs reach 40C on Sunday, as they did on 6 March. The Sydney basin has only recorded two days that warm in autumn once – on 13 and 23 March 1998, Domensino said.

The warmth will start to break down over eastern states by early next week. Still, with some heat sticking around over north-western and central Australia, there is the potential for another burst of heat towards the end of March. The mercury, though, is unlikely to climb as high as during the current heatwave, he said., the Bureau of Meteorology shifted its commentary on the main climate influences for Australia from a La Niña to an El Niño watch.

During El Niño years, normally easterly equatorial winds stall or even reverse, shifting rainfall eastwards and increasing the risk of heatwaves and dry conditions for much of Australia. “We are potentially staring down the barrel of a rapid transition to an El Niño later this year,” Domensino said. “So it looks like that cooling influence of a La Niña that we’ve enjoyed in the last few years is now gone,” he said. “[What] we’re seeing right now [in eastern Australia] may unfortunately portend what may be more frequent next summer.”

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