'The plan itself—while theoretically plausible—compounded optimism bias in each of its stages,' analysts with the Royal United Services Institute wrote.
outlining how the country's army would be able to overwhelm and seize military control of neighboring Ukraine within a 10-day window.by the Royal United Services Institute, the Russian military had plans to stun the enemy with overwhelming firepower, using an aggressive posture to force concessions from the international community to avert greater bloodshed, destabilize Ukrainian leadership, and clear the way for the Russian annexation of the country by August.
That the invasion happens quickly, eliminating the ability of the international community to respond meaningfully. That Russia—the"second most powerful army in the world," Russian General Valery Gerasimov said prior to the war's start—would dominate Ukraine on the battlefield. According to the RUSI report, most Russian military personnel—even deputies under the Russian General Staff—were unaware of the intention to invade and occupy Ukraine until days before the invasion. Many tactical military units, spread thin across numerous points of entry, did not receive orders until hours before they entered Ukraine and were not properly equipped for a prolonged campaign. Per the report, many Russian soldiers arrived in towns without their weapons loaded.
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