MLB odds, predictions, and picks for Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers on September 14. MLB free pick for Marlins-Brewers.
may also struggle for Miami. The rookie's surface-level stats are amazing this season, posting a 5-4 record with a 2.90 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.
However, his 3.72 xERA suggests that regression is looming. This expected regression could come to fruition against a Brewers lineup that is averaging nearly six runs scored over their past eight games. With that said, even Perez’s expected regression still puts him above Houser in practically every single surface-level stat and analytic. Add to the fact that the Marlins rank higher than Milwaukee in hits per game, BA, SLG, and OPS, and we could see them take care of business on the road in a high-scoring affair.: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting siteThe Marlins opened as a slight –112 favorite and were bet down to their current price of -104.
That brings us to the total, which opened at 8.5 and has since been bet down to eight. The market respects Perez and his tremendous surface-level stats, although I would argue his underlying metrics suggest that his smaller 83-inning sample size is not enough to justify this low of a total in a matchup against Houser.
There have now been eight or more total runs scored in seven of Milwaukee’s past 12 games and in nine of Miami’s past 12.
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