An exclusive survey shows male voters cut their support for Labor from 37 per cent in the final months of 2023 to 31 per cent in the first months of 2024.
Male voters have turned against Labor and increased their support for the Coalition in a big political shift over the past six months, deepening the dangers for the government when it is also losing ground in battleground states.
However, the government has gained ground in marginal seats over the past two years. Resolve director Jim Reed said the findings suggested a narrow Labor victory or a hung parliament if the results were reflected at an election. The findings come as Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Treasurer Jim Chalmers seek to lift the government’s fortunes in the federal budget next week after heated debates about
The results across all marginal electorates over the past three months show Labor has a primary vote of 29 per cent in those seats. This is down over the past year after reaching 39 per cent in the June 2023 quarter, but slightly higher than the 27 per cent result for the party at the last election. The Coalition is down from 41 to 38 per cent in marginal electorates over the two years.
The new analysis shows West Australian voters have cut their support for Labor from 34 to 32 per cent since the December quarter. This compares to the Labor primary vote in the state of 37 per cent at the last election.
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