Murder Rose by Almost 30% in 2020. It's Rising at a Slower Rate in 2021.

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Murder Rose by Almost 30% in 2020. It's Rising at a Slower Rate in 2021.
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The United States in 2020 experienced the biggest rise in murder since the start of national record-keeping in 1960, according to data gathered by the FBI for its annual report on crime.

The number of officers in the New York Police Department fell substantially in 2020.

Separately, an independent analysis of big cities finds at least one promising sign that the murder rate may be flattening this year: The increase in murders this summer does not appear to be as large as the record spike last summer. About 77% of reported murders in 2020 were committed with a firearm, the highest share ever reported, up from 67% a decade ago.The change in murder was widespread — a national phenomenon and not a regional one. Murder rose more than 35% in cities with populations over 250,000 that reported full data.No geographic area was spared. The FBI reported in March that murder was up at least 20% in every region of the country, including around a 30% increase in the Midwest.

Murder, although it carries the highest societal cost, makes up a tiny portion of major crimes as defined by the FBI. This data is useful in describing the overall trend, but it does not provide insight into the question of why some agencies lost officers. Was it because of poor morale and increased difficulties in doing the job, or did retirements surge because increased overtime in 2020 made it a more attractive prospect?

The first half of this year largely followed the pattern begun in the second half of last year. The rate of increase in murder appears to be decelerating as more cities that had big increases starting last summer begin to report data for this summer.The FBI has published national UCR estimates every year since 1960, but it is switching to a new crime reporting system next year.

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