South Australia’s election will give campaign strategists the first clues on whether the advantage of incumbency may be dead. | paulsakkal
Pollsters expect Premier Steven Marshall to lose to SA Labor leader Peter Malinauskas.Advertisement
The moderate Liberal and Port Adelaide supporter sounds relaxed as he speaks of the state’s “newfound sense of confidence” and his plans to end the state’s “brain drain” and grow its population.“SA was in the doldrums for 20 years before we came to government. We had an exodus of young people and companies, and we’ve now got net migration and global companies setting up,” he said.
Malinauskas says Marshall’s claims of a prosperous economy are insulting to South Australians. He cites the state’s 4.8 per cent unemployment rate – the worst in Australia – and says the government has lost control of the state’s health system. Former South Australian Premier Mike Rann, who led the state between 2002 and 2011, believes politics is normalising.
University of SA epidemiologist professor Adrian Esterman agreed the reopening plan was a “big mistake”. However, he gives the government credit for maintaining public health measures like mask-wearing and density limits throughout summer, and for longer into 2022 than other states, which he said limited the number of cases and deaths.
Just like Howard did in 2007, Marshall faces the risk of losing his own seat. A recent seat-specific poll, which are notoriously inaccurate, suggested his electorate of Dunstan was on the precipice of being lost to Labor. At a polling station where voters in Marshall’s electorate cast early votes, a handful of voters spoken to bysaid ambulance ramping was the key election issue for them. But Danny Simons, a Liberal voter from Marshall’s electorate, said the extent of the problem had been “sensationalised a little bit”.
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