NFL Wild-Card Lock, Upset and Prop Advice

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NFL Wild-Card Lock, Upset and Prop Advice
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Wild-card weekend starts today. The SI_Betting team gave one lock, prop and upset for the first round of the NFL playoffs

Let’s stop with the non-sense that this spread is too big since these AFC East rivals are very familiar with each other and their games during the regular season were only decided by two and three points. The Dolphins are starting third-string quarterback against a Buffalo defense that ranked fifth in yards per pass and second in opponents’ red zone scoring percentage. In the last 62 wild-card games, the straight-up winner is 54-7-1 against the spread.

5 spread at even-money. I’m calling for the outright upset and riding on the moneyline.The Vikings were dreadful at covering wide receivers this year. In fact they gave up more yards to receivers than any other defense. Isaiah Hodgins has emerged as the Giants’ go-to pass-catcher, which given their receiving corps isn’t saying a whole lot. Nonetheless, the guy is making plays.

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