If Trump's election fraud tactics are successful, U.S. democracy will be in ruins and we'll live under a dictatorship. We must be wary of this possibility and the dangers of undermining public confidence in elections.
I’ve spent the greater part of the last decade studying Trump’s supporters through countless polls and polling questions measuring support for, and willingness to vote for Trump. There is very little evidence that Trump supporters are more likely to be financially insecure or desperate. They are largely middle to. And there’s little evidence in the dozens of different financial metrics I’ve looked at in surveys over the last decade that his supporters are suffering from financial struggles.
On to the coming election, it’s impossible to tell at this stage of the game how this all shakes out. There are too many moving parts between the federal, Georgia and New York investigations of Trump to know what will happen. One thing that seems clear to me is that none of these charges are likely to have much of an impact on Trump’s core voters.
The legal cases in question could take years to play out, so it’s not even clear, if Trump was convicted, that these cases would impact his ability to campaign in 2024. Concerning your question about whether this all could help Trump, I think the answer is.
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