So far, it’s been a strategic shoulder shrug from the US and NATO, but an “avoid World War III” strategy could make authoritarian aggression more likely.
In the past 24 hours, the US administration has verified that North Korea is deploying troops to Russia, with the possibility of them fighting in their war against Ukraine.government sources have previously reported that at least 1500 North Korean troops, and possibly up to 10,000, are part of this initial deployment.
North Korea, which already supplies rockets and artillery munitions to the Russian war effort, has much to gain from becoming a co-belligerent in the war against Ukraine. Politically, it ensures it has a grateful “fellow traveller” in Russia. Additionally, Russia may provide an array of financial incentives for North Korea’s troop deployment.
NATO, and the US administration, have sought to shy away from that confrontation for the past decade. While some of the rhetoric around competing with China has evolved, the unwillingness of the US and other nations to call out Putin’s bluffs on escalation in Ukraine means that authoritarian leaders now believe they can undertake a broader range of military aggression with impunity.
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