NSW Budget Deficit Widens Amid Global Economic Uncertainty

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NSW Budget Deficit Widens Amid Global Economic Uncertainty
BUDGETDEFICITNSW
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The NSW budget has faced a deterioration of $1.3 billion since June, primarily due to a decline in stamp duty revenue and unexpected increases in insurance, compensation, and interest expenses. While the deficit is projected to improve by 2027-28, the government warns of potential risks from the US and China's trade policies.

The NSW budget bottom line has deteriorated by $1.3 billion since June, driven by a near half-a-billion-dollar decline in stamp duty receipts and unanticipated leaps in insurance, compensation and interest expenses. Treasurer Daniel Mookhey and Finance Minister Courtney Houssos presented the state’s half-yearly review on Wednesday, revealing the budget deficit had worsened to nearly $5 billion in 2024-25, yet was projected to improve to be just $1.3 billion in the red by 2027-28.

The update warned that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expansionary fiscal policy and broad-based tariff regime were expected to heighten global inflationary risks. This would be exacerbated if China responded with similar protectionist measures. While not disclosing if NSW Treasury had undertaken modelling about the risk of Trump’s trade policies, Mookhey underscored the state’s exposure to tremors in the global economy. “NSW makes its money from selling the intelligence of its people and its goods around the world. That’s why what happens in trade markets matters a lot to Australia and a lot to NSW,” he said. In light of the economic headwinds facing the government, Mookhey said the mid-year update was “mildly encouraging”, emphasising the $2.3 billion improvement in the state’s net debt since the budget was handed down on June 18. It was still forecast to leap from $110 billion to $140 billion by mid-2028. The government underscored a near billion-dollar increase in expenses from insurance and compensation scheme valuations, and a more than $450 million increase in interest expenses. Stamp duty receipts also fell by nearly $400 million as Sydney’s property market cooled over the back end of the yea

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BUDGET DEFICIT NSW ECONOMY TRADE INFLATION

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