There is an even chance that global temperatures will temporarily breach the benchmark of 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels in one of the next five years, the United Nations warned Tuesday.
saw countries agree to cap global warming at"well below" 2 °C above levels measured between 1850 and 1900 – and 1.5 °C if possible.
There is a 93 percent chance of at least one year between 2022-2026 becoming the warmest on record and dislodging 2016 from the top ranking, said the WMO. "The 1.5 °C figure is not some random statistic. It is rather an indicator of the point at which climate impacts will become increasingly harmful for people and indeed the entire planet."The Paris Agreement level of 1.5 °C refers to long-term warming, but temporary exceedances are expected to occur with increasing frequency as global temperatures rise.
The report said that back-to-back La Nina events at the start and end of 2021 had a cooling effect on global temperatures.La Nina refers to the large-scale cooling of surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, typically occurring every two to seven years.
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