The Andrews government retains an election-winning lead over the Coalition, but there remains a real risk Labor will be unable to govern in its own right after polling day.
in which Daniel Andrews’ government will ask Victorians for a third term in office – a rarity in modern politics.fallen almost six points
This is in addition to Victoria’s worsening health crisis, rising cost-of-living pressures and integrity scandals that have dogged the Labor government recently. Hawthorn: ALP 0.4 per cent: The Liberals lost the once-safe seat of Hawthorn in 2018 after suffering a 9.1 per cent swing, handing the seat to Labor for only the second time in the electorate’s history. Labor’s John Kennedy will have to fight to hold on to the marginal seat with a teal independent expected to contest the seat alongside former Liberal MP John Pesutto.
Reed’s most recent Victorian survey showed a slight improvement in the Coalition primary vote, which edged up to 33 per cent. Labor campaigners were wary that the momentum was shifting the opposition’s way.Buoyed by the federal election result, teal independents are expected to run in five inner-city seats, the majority of which are represented by Liberals.
By polling day, Labor will have been in power in Victoria for 19 of the past 23 years and is asking for another term.chief of staff requested a donor make more than $100,000 in paymentsAdding to its woes, the Coalition will enter the election race in a worse position than in 2018, with anotionally snatching two seats from the party. Also, of the 20 seats notionally held by the Liberals, 15 electorates have a margin of 5 per cent and are therefore considered marginal.
The challenge for Guy is how he woos voters in outer-suburban areas – many of whom will have never voted Liberal – while holding on to inner-city seats under threat from independent candidates campaigning on integrity and climate.
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