The project, to lengthen service just 1.3 miles to the Salesforce Transit Center, is now expected to cost $8.25 billion.
The Caltrain extension in San Francisco is being proposed by the Transbay Joint Powers Authority, a partnership of San Francisco, the East Bay’s AC Transit, Caltrain on the Peninsula and the California High-Speed Rail Authority.The San Jose BART extension is proving to be quite costly, but, on a per-mile basis, it is a bargain compared to a proposed Caltrain extension in San Francisco.
It is hard to know how many Caltrain riders would use the extension since the Transbay Joint Powers Authority has not released a post-COVID ridership model. A 2009 analysis from Cambridge SystematicsCaltrain no longer produces entrance or exit statistics by station, so we do not know how many of these riders are going all the way up to the station at Fourth and King streets. In 2019,of Caltrain trips began or ended at the San Francisco terminus.
The Transbay Joint Powers Authority hopes to obtain federal funds to cover about half the project costs. But the Federal Transit Administration considers the quality of state and local funding commitments when choosing which projects to support.$550 million from the California High-Speed Rail Authority. But it is unclear how that agency would find these funds because it does not even have enough money to complete its initial operating segment, from Merced to Bakersfield.
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