'Blurring the line between proxy war and direct war is therefore not just irresponsible, but dangerous.'
Blurring the line between proxy war and direct war is therefore not just irresponsible, but dangerous.
In this context, we should take note of the great differences between the proxy wars of the past and the present war, as seen from Moscow. In theof Dmitri Trenin, former director of the Carnegie Russia Center, comparing the present crisis to the Cuban Missile Crisis: One of the reasons why such irresponsible statements as those of Glasser and Hill are being published is precisely that there are so few people left who remember what World War II was like. In Russia, the Soviet leaders after Stalin had all served or had been children during the war. In America, most U.S. presidents until George W. Bush had served, and President Eisenhower had commanded.
If Ukraine wins more victories and recovers the territories that Russia has occupied since February, Putin will in my view probably be forced to resign, but Russia would likely not use nuclear weapons. If however Ukraine goes on to try to reconquer Crimea, which the overwhelming majority of Russians regard as simply Russian territory, the chances of an escalation to nuclear war become extremely high.
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