Oscar predictions for original and adapted screenplay: The road to best picture goes through here

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Oscar predictions for original and adapted screenplay: The road to best picture goes through here
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Most best picture Oscar winners also take a screenplay honor. That's good news for 'The Irishman' and 'Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood.'

“Pain and Glory”; Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns, “1917"; Scott Alexander and Larry Karaszewski, “Dolemite Is My Name”; Jason Keller, Jez Butterworth and John-Henry Butterworth, “Ford v Ferrari”; Susanna Fogel, Emily Halpern, Susan Haskins and Katie Silberman, “Booksmart”; Jordan Peele, “Us”Here you have an array of movies mounting robust Oscar campaigns — “Once Upon a Time ...

Tarantino, Bong and perhaps Baumbach could also land nominations for director. Wang deserves strong consideration too for “The Farewell,” a delightful, emotionally astute family story that should be an absolute Oscar lock for its screenplay. And though writers branch voters haven’t been generous to international cinema of late, “Parasite” seems inevitable here as well for its brilliant structure and audacious melding of satire and heart-wrenching social commentary.

“1917" also merits consideration for its structure and for the effective, restrained way it tells its story of two British soldiers embarking on an impossible mission. But it’s a little shy on its word count, and voters tend to gravitate toward screenplays packed with verbiage. That bias could bode well for Johnson’s wickedly entertaining “Knives Out,” a masterfully crafted whodunit that stands out as one of the season’s most pleasurable diversions.

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