Parsing the January US CPI report

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Parsing the January US CPI report
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The ‘broadly in line’ data opens the door for at least two more increases of 0.25 of a percentage point in US interest rates.

, the fastest pace in three months, while it was up 6.4 per cent from a year earlier.

The median estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 0.5 per cent monthly advance in the CPI and a 0.4 per cent gain in the core measure.: “Now that the Federal Reserve is down to 25 basis point hikes, the negative reaction function for upside surprises on inflation just isn’t there. It seems we’ve entered a phase where markets are comfortable with higher rates because recession fears are dissipating.

He added: “The Fed’s favourite core measure, services ex-energy and housing - the “supercore” - rose 0.4 per cent, for the second straight month, pushing the 3m/3m annualised rate down to 4.5 per cent from 5.3 per cent in December. This is the slowest rate of increase on this basis since January last year, but it won’t slow further unless the m/m prints soften.

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