Trump himself has appeared torn on whether to treat his impeachment as a major scandal or a bit of a joke
In 2017 he rounded out his first year as President by passing an unpopular tax cut bill that most Americans believed gave disproportionate benefits to the wealthy and big corporations. His popularity took a hit.in a bid to secure funding for his border wall. Government employees were forced to queue at food banks, chaos broke out at airports and Trump's approval numbers nose-dived.By contrast, Trump is ending this year with some important policy wins.
Trump will be able to sell it to key "rust belt" states like Michigan and Ohio as proof he is working to bring manufacturing jobs back to the US. Former Republican congresswoman Mia Love says the economy puts Trump in a strong position to win re-election, regardless of his divisive behaviour."At a rally recently the President said you may not like him but you have to vote for him," Love says. "I think that's a pretty powerful line."
This was on stark display at Trump's rally on the night of the impeachment vote. Even his supporters appeared stunned when he belittled the dead husband of a Democratic congresswoman, suggesting he might be in hell. It's highly possible this could happen again - in an even more extreme version. A study this year by election analyst David Wasserman found that Trump could lose the popular vote by as many as 5 million votes while still prevailing in the electoral college. White voters without college degrees - who are more likely to vote for Trump - are over-represented in many swing states, handing him an important advantage.
Sabato believes a moderate figure like Joe Biden, Amy Klobuchar or Cory Booker would have the best chance of beating Trump.
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