Prof Jon Tonge accurately predicted result of confidence vote in prime minister
. He has also been inundated with requests for predictions of lottery numbers, horse racing and even the outcome of Love Island.
Thanks for very kind comments re VONC forecast. Main items: didn’t have a bet ; you really don’t want my racing tips; Love Island? Liam or Gemma. Will post lottery numbers when rollover. As sceptical other half said though, ‘first time you’ve been right since marrying me’.He told the Guardian: “I do quite a bit of political betting, but ironically, I didn’t bet last night because I was busy trying to work out the result. So it is slightly bittersweet.
He recalled: “I said Sinn Féin would get 26 seats and they got 27. I said the DUP would get 24 seats and they got 25.” In 2017 assembly election he was also only one seat out and pointed out that Northern Ireland election is much harder to predict because of the single transferrable voting system.Tonge said he initially expected Johnson to match the performance of his predecessor.
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