Biden’s low job approval ratings could prove a formidable drag on the Democrats as these races enter the homestretch, writes JimAntle. That gives Trump, and Thiel, a chance to leave a bigger mark on the Senate.
Ever since Trump captured the 2016 Republican presidential nomination and went on to upset Hillary Clinton, there has been a debate over whether his personality, policies, or celebrity was the defining characteristic that put him over the top. Trump lost to President Joe Biden in 2020 but was still competitive in the Rust Belt and came within 43,000 votes in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Georgia of a second Electoral College majority.
A new Emerson College poll tells the tale. Vance leads Ryan by 3 points, 45% to 42%. But Republican Gov. Mike DeWine is winning reelection by 16 points in the same survey, and Trump is ahead by 14 in a hypothetical 2024 matchup. Any path to Republicans retaking the Senate, currently split 50-50 and under Democratic control solely because of Vice President Kamala Harris’s tiebreaking vote, runs through these two states. The GOP needs to retain the seat held by retiring Sen. Rob Portman and Arizona’s Kelly represents one of the party’s better pickup opportunities.
Still, Ohio and Arizona are important tests for Trump’s redefinition of the Republican Party along populist and working-class lines — as yet another billionaire, the Silicon Valley titan Thiel, also wants.
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