Rising Tensions in the Baltic Sea Over Suspected Sabotage of Undersea Cables

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Rising Tensions in the Baltic Sea Over Suspected Sabotage of Undersea Cables
BALTIC SEARUSSIASABOTAGE
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Numerous incidents of suspected Russian-linked sabotage of undersea cables in the Baltic Sea have heightened tensions among nearby countries, leading to an increased NATO presence. The latest incident involved the Swedish coast guard boarding a ship suspected of damage to vital cables. Russia has denied involvement, but concerns remain about potential threats to critical infrastructure.

Numerous incidents of suspected Russian-linked sabotage of undersea cables in the Baltic Sea has seen tensions rise among nearby countries, and an increased Nato presence.

Critical undersea infrastructure can be easily damaged by anchor dragging. Russia has denied involvement in these incidents. What’s the context? In recent months there have been several reports of damage being caused to undersea cables by vessels as they pass through the Baltic Sea. Attacks on undersea cables are comparable to traditional espionage and information operations . This is activity conducted at the level below that of warfare, designed to send certain signals to adversarial nations.

Investigations into apparent threats can be conducted without actually seizing the vessel or impeding its progress in any way. This can done through the use of GPS tracking data and combining that with other evidence such as eye witness testimony. Many merchant vessels are registered in overseas territories, and ownership can be hard to track. This gives a degree of plausible deniability over who may have ordered or overseen the operations that might have damaged cables.

But this increased naval presence in the Baltic could act as a deterrent and provide greater security to the cables. Sweden has now boarded a vessel. But another obstacle here is that the nation where the vessel is registered is under absolutely no obligation to cooperate with any investigation.

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