Italy look to put pressure on France, Wales aim to avoid another Georgia shock, and a maths test for Ireland and Scotland
Much has been made of the fact Antoine Dupont could be back next week if given the all clear by the surgeon on Monday to resume contact training days after having surgery on a fractured cheekbone. Less attention has been paid to the fact that for that to be at all relevant, France still need to qualify and the easiest way to ensure that is to beat Italy on Friday evening. They can still go through if they lose, but the hosts will not want to be relying on bonus points..
For the record : going into the match, South Africa have 15 points, Ireland 14 and the Scots 10. If two teams finish level on points, the one who qualifies is the team that won the head-to-head match between the two. If three are level on top, well, let’s come to that in a minute, but the first determiner is points difference, and then the remaining two are split on their head-to-head result.
If Scotland win with a try-scoring bonus point and Ireland also score four tries or more, all three teams would finish on 15 points. Then, it comes down in the first instance to points difference; if Scotland win the match by more than 21 points, they go through on points difference and Ireland go through on a better head-to-head record v South Africa.
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