Russia's inflation spike sets Kremlin and central bank on collision course

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Russia's inflation spike sets Kremlin and central bank on collision course
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Russia’s rising inflation and plunging currency have spotlighted an emerging discord between the Kremlin and the country’s central bank.

Prior to the Kremlin's intervention, the Bank of Russia blamed the country's shrinking balance of trade for the inflation and currency frailties, as Russia's current account surplus fell more than 85% year on year from January to July.

Agathe Demarais, global forecasting director at the Economist Intelligence Unit, told CNBC that the central bank was right in its earlier assessment that the collapse in Russia's current account surplus was the key factor behind high inflation. "The combination of these factors shows that the room for manoeuvre of the Russian government is shrinking: the Russian leadership must now make a choice between battling inflation or propping up growth — both key drivers of social stability," she said.

"Often currency collapses are prompted by nervous international investors or fleeing domestic capital. Sanctions and capital controls have left Russia isolated from the international financial system," Kennedy said.

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