Russia's war on Ukraine grinds into second year as Putin gambles on the long game

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Russia's war on Ukraine grinds into second year as Putin gambles on the long game
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Putin believes he can outlast the West, even as U.S., Europe show robust support, unity after a year of conflict

from their homes; thousands of children have been reportedly kidnapped and spirited to Russian territory; scores of villages and cities lie in full or partial ruin; and global impacts include soaring prices for oil and food products that normally come from the region.Prospects for a diplomatic resolution remain low while more fighting is on the horizon.

A man fixes a flag at a small memorial Friday in Bucha, Ukraine, for eight Ukrainian civilians who were executed by Russian forces. The uncompromising rhetoric and the erratic pace on the battlefield suggest that no resolution is in sight. The Ukrainians’ preferred battle plan in coming weeks is thought to be a run south to bisect the V-shaped territory Russia controls in southeastern Ukraine. That would cut the land bridge that facilitates Russian supply lines and potentially make it more difficult for the Kremlin’s forces to maintain connections to Crimea, the peninsula on Ukraine’s southern Black Sea coast that Russia occupied and illegally annexed in 2014.

Consequently, Russia is turning to outside sources. Iran has supplied Moscow with drones, according to U.S. officials who also say China is considering sending “lethal aid” to Russia. U.S. Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken warned his Chinese counterpart in a recent meeting that such an action would be a serious mistake and would invite U.S. sanctions.

The Wagner Group has a ruthless reputation and has taken its deadly tactics around the world, especially in Africa, where it has shored up dictatorships by snuffing out dissidents. While most analysts don’t think this means an imminent use of nuclear power, the hints are part of a leitmotif Putin has employed since the beginning of the war.

President Biden meets with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky outside St. Michael’s monastery in Kyiv, Ukraine, during a surprise visit last week.

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