Russia is not interested in freezing the current frontline, aiming to seize more Ukrainian territory before initiating peace negotiations. As President-elect Trump prepares to take office, it is unclear how his administration will approach ending the conflict, with potential difficulties in finding a compromise.
Russia is uninterested in freezing the lines as they now stand, believing that it can win more territory and then push for peace when Ukraine has little choice but to accept its terms. Russia is uninterested in freezing the lines as they now stand, believing that it can win more territory and then push for peace when Ukraine has little choice but to accept its terms.
Moscow, for now, is equally uninterested in freezing the lines, believing it can win more territory and then sue for peace when Ukraine has no choice but to accept even harsher terms. Kurt Volker, Trump’s Ukraine envoy during the his first term and a former US ambassador to Nato, praised Kellogg’s appointment. “He is a very solid choice, an experienced, serious guy. He clearly understands what Putin is all about, and that Ukraine needs to be well armed and have real security guarantees.”for compromising material on Joe Biden and his son, Hunter. Nevertheless, he said he is “cautiously optimistic” on Trump’s ability to end to the conflict.
The idea of Trump as a saviour for Ukraine, as unlikely as it may seem, holds an appeal for an exhausted nation without a clear path to victory. One security source,, admitted that negotiations under Trump could be like “a trip to the casino” for Ukraine. “But by now everyone is exhausted, and some people are willing to make risky bets.
Another source in the Russian foreign policy establishment said: “The situation on the ground could look very different in two months, and if Russia senses it can achieve more militarily, it will pursue that option before considering any negotiations.”Ukraine has been losing ground in recent weeks, but one key area for talks will be the Ukraine-occupied areas of Russia’s Kursk region.
With both sides fixated on Kursk, Russia has been making grinding but steady advances elsewhere amid worried whispers in Ukraine about an approaching major Russian offensive. Kyiv has a manpower crisis at the front, which has led to the US administration publicly telling Kyiv it should lower the mobilisation age from 25 to 18. It is a move with such moral and political repercussions that Zelenskyy has ruled it out.
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