Opinion As Putin desperately mobilises, hope is not a valid option for the West
Such thinking can lead to a false sense of security about a weak Russia, and the course of their war against Ukraine.
First, they need to induct the quantity of soldiers needed. Many young Russian men are departing in a mass exodus from Russia. But millions of others will not have the means to leave Russia to escape their draft notices. These new recruits will travel to regional bases to be issued uniforms and equipment and begin their training.Here is the first challenge for the Russians.
Finally, the Russians will reinforce depleted front-line units with these new and inexperienced soldiers. This is risky for both the green soldiers and the more experienced veterans they will join. Given the poor Russian leadership we have seen during this war, it is likely that integration of new soldiers will be haphazard. Many of them are unlikely to survive their first week on the job.
Russian recruits gather at a military recruitment centre of Bataysk, Rostov-on-Don region, south of Moscow.Second, this mobilisation is part of Russia’s larger strategy to draw out the war in the hope that Western governments tire of supporting Ukraine.and end Western assistance through higher energy costs has failed so far.
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