Provided humans reach Mars by 2038.
Impact of Economic Constraints on the Projected Timeframe for Human-Crewed Deep Space Exploration
which is currently under peer review. Their model is based on the economic analysis of the rate at which space budgets increase over time and the rate at which technology has progressed since the beginning of the space age. that one of the triggers to conduct a study on deep space exploration and crewed missions to other worlds was a, by NASA's Curiosity Mars rover."It's a tiny dot surrounded by darkness.
Concerns about overpopulation, the fight for resources, the possibility of resource wars, and even eventual extinction have all led to the drive-by some to develop colonies in space and find new homes off-world. Those who propose this as a solution feel that developing colonies on other worlds would almost guarantee the long-term survival of humans from all sorts of calamities that could befall the home planet.
However, undertaking such missions would require efficient planning, which has several influencing factors. "Our previous work was the first step towards predicting timeframes for the first human-crewed launches from Earth to Solar System. The model was developed based on trends from empirical data of space exploration and computing power through the first six-plus decades of the Space Age which projects the earliest possible launch dates for human-crewed missions. The model used computational power," says Jiang. and multiple variables' analysis, more precise conclusions were required.
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