AFL: Former West Coast coach Adam Simpson spoke to the West Coast fanbase before the Eagles' clash against the Brisbane Lions.
With six weeks left, a few desperate sides lifted to keep their finals hopes alive - and with just two wins between 2nd and 13th, we’ve got the closest race in 27 years.Which teams could take advantage of an easy draw to climb the ladder, and which clubs could tumble down the table based on a tough run of games?
For example, we might say two teams have a 50 per cent chance each of winning a very even game. So they’d each get 0.5 projected wins for their total. If it’s an almost certain blowout, it might be 90-10, so the favourite gets 0.9 projected wins. That’s why almost all teams have a projection that’s not a round number.
It also means the predicted win totals are naturally conservative at the top, and optimistic at the bottom - and it’s hard for teams to catch up to sides who are multiple wins ahead of them . If you’re able to win a bunch of 50-50s, you’ll make these projections look silly, but that’s not something anyone can predict anyway.Second Elimination Final :is calculated using the average percentage of remaining opponents.
Qualifying Final Remaining Games Max Laughton Cats Claim Luke Parker Real Question St Kilda Hawthorn Hawks Finals Hopes Elimination Final Win-And-You’Re-In Ladder Looks Gold Coast Suns Finals Race Fellow Finals Contenders Ladder Order Gold Coast Remaining Fixture Advantages Teams Victoria Desperate Sides Predicted Win Totals West Coast Eagles The Gabba Finals Miracle Luke Beveridge Absentee List Coast Eagles Simon Goodwin Projected Wins Finals Places Closest Finals Tim Taranto Sydney Mason Redman Toughest Home Game New South Wales Finals Footy Trademark Position Port Adelaide Closest Race Giants Youngster Adelaide Crows Oceania South Australia Double Chance Predicted Ladder Sydney Swans Brutal Final Fortnight Charlie Curnow Brilliant Win Brisbane Lions Automatic Losses Multiple Wins Top-Four Team Coaches Box Ken Hinkley Tom Harley Contender Outside Australia And New Zealand Greater Western Sydney Giants Home Games Ineptitude Means Real Shot Boundary Fence Percentage Advantage Team Song Home Prelim Western Bulldogs Mars Stadium Adam Simpson Australia Run Home Gary Lyon Queensland
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