We covered big questions, QB matchup keys, stats to know, impact players, injury updates, betting advice and expert predictions. It's all here for Super Bowl LVIII.
Stephen A. Smith explains why he feels the Chiefs' defense will be the reason they win Super Bowl LVIII vs. the 49ers. This is Kansas City's fourth appearance in the big game in five years. The last time the 49ers won the Super Bowl was after the 1994 season in. The 49ers entered the playoffs as the NFC's No. 1 seed, while the Chiefs were the AFC's No. 3 seed.
He leads all quarterbacks in total EPA on passes between the hashes, too. All of this is somewhat expected given that Purdy plays in Shanahan's offense, but the 49ers are where they are in part because he can execute when throwing to that part of the field.: Purdy has only a 61 QBR against zone coverage, which ranks 12th among QBR-qualifying quarterbacks. For his numbers, that's a weakness. By contrast, his QBR against man coverage is 90.
The Chiefs now lead with defense, while in the past they leaned on their offense to get it done. They had an early lead in theagainst the Ravens, and they were content to lean on their defense to hold on, which it did by creating three turnovers . The Chiefs were second in the league in sacks during the regular season, and they don't have to rely ontied with Jones for the team lead in sacks during the regular season with 10.5 and has 2.5 in the playoffs.
But what's more impressive for this game is how Sneed has improved over the course of the season. In the first nine weeks, he allowed a minus-10% DVOA. In the next nine weeks, he allowed a minus-40% DVOA. And in the three playoff games, Sneed has allowed a minus-50% DVOA in coverage, which would have ranked second for the year.Part of the reason Sneed is the X factor is that we don't know whom the Chiefs consider to be the 49ers' most important target.
This matchup is a showdown between the top team in FPI, the 49ers , and the Chiefs in fifth. The 49ers are No. 1 in offense , and Kansas City is No. 5 in defense .In the preseason, the 49ers had the second-best chance to make the Super Bowl and the Chiefs had the third best . And Kansas City was given a 12.7% chance to win it to San Francisco's 11.7%.We asked 64 experts to weigh in on who will win. The Chiefs were picked by 49 of them , while the 49ers claimed 15 votes .
Purdy has a 91 QBR in the second half of games this postseason, a dramatic increase from a 59 QBR in the first half. The 49ers have averaged 22.0 points per game in the second half and just 7.0 in the first half.
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