An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
over the Caribbean. Westerly wind shear remains quite strong over the next several days but a turn in the forward movement to the north then N/NE may help mitigate some of the shear. Furthermore...the shear should weaken by late week though there will also be land interaction about midweek. Franklin has slowed which will allow a turn rather sharply to the north through Tue. moving over or at least very near Hispaniola late by Wed.
tropical disturbance - ‘91-L’ - was upgraded to tropical depression #9 Mon. then tropical storm “Harold” early Tue. about midnight early Monday by the NHC due to satellite derived estimated winds near a very brief burst of convection. Conditions - dry air & wind shear - are not favorable so further strengthening is unlikely. In fact, Gert is still expected to dissipate well east to the Windward Islands within the next day or two.has just come off the coast of Africa. This wave may very well develop but appears destined to stay far out to the east over the Atlantic.
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