The prediction of 'normal' conditions certainly doesn't rule out fire for spring, but at least we're in a better position going into summer than this time last year — except parts of Queensland, which could still really do with some rain.
The bushfire outlook for spring is looking "normal" for most of the country, driven by vastly different climate drivers than the previous two fire seasons.The exceptions are parts of Queensland and northern WA, where rainfall has been below-average over winterLast year, large areas of the eastern seaboard were facing above-normal conditions, from central Queensland down through to Victoria, as well as areas in South Australia.
There is a definite contrast this year, according to Richard Thornton, chief executive of the Bushfire and Natural Hazards Cooperative Research Centre., meaning that there's a high likelihood that we get a La Nina event during this spring period," he said.While a La Nina would encourage wetter-than-average conditions, parts of Queensland still face above-normal fire potential, particularly in the south-east and central coast.
"That will all be dependent upon whether the rainfall comes or not [and how soon]," Dr Thornton said.That rainfall, however, could cause other issues as we get closer to summer if crops and grasses grow and then dry off — a further bushfire outlook will be issued as summer approaches.
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