The state-by-state numbers that show Albanese’s big problem – and Dutton’s bigger challenge

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The state-by-state numbers that show Albanese’s big problem – and Dutton’s bigger challenge
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Anthony Albanese has continued to lose ground in Australia’s two biggest states, but exclusive polling analysis reveals the Coalition’s monumental challenge.

Voters have turned on Labor in the two biggest states and lifted the Coalition to a stronger position nationwide, heightening the prospect of a tight federal election that forces the government to scramble for power in a hung parliament.

But the exclusive findings show the two leaders are neck-and-neck at a national level, with 35 per cent support each, while 30 per cent of voters are undecided about who is best to lead the nation. Albanese took power at the last election after Labor gained 52 per cent of the national vote in two-party terms, giving it 77 of the 151 seats in the House of Representatives.

“But the real wildcards in this election will be the non-classical contests where the Greens and independents play a greater part.” Albanese has moved to protect Labor seats in Western Australia – where the party reached a rare high at the last election – by visiting the state with cabinet ministers earlier this month and offering production tax credits for mining companies.The Resolve analysis finds the Labor primary vote has shrunk from 37 to 29 per cent in Western Australia since the election, but it suggests that much of this has gone to independent candidates.

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