Tories and Labour on course for lowest share of the vote since 1945

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Tories and Labour on course for lowest share of the vote since 1945
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Poll reveals historically low support for the big two, with smaller parties up by five points

‘Labour and the Conservatives down to their lowest share of the vote since Liz Truss was in office’: Keir Starmer and Rishi Sunak during an election debate on June 4.‘Labour and the Conservatives down to their lowest share of the vote since Liz Truss was in office’: Keir Starmer and Rishi Sunak during an election debate on June 4.

It is a reversal of the trend seen at the last election, when the main parties were able to squeeze the support of their smaller competitors. According to Opinium research, support for the smaller parties dropped 10 points between the first and last poll in the 2019 campaign. So far, the total vote share for smaller parties is up five points this time round.

“Voters are turning away from the two major parties in a huge break with the trend seen in the 2019 general election campaign, when the smaller parties’ votes were squeezed,” said James Crouch, head of policy and public affairs at Opinium. “The biggest surprise is that both major parties are being hit, with Labour and the Conservatives down to their lowest share of the vote sinceIt comes alongside analysis that the election points to historically low support for the two major parties.

The latest Opinium poll also revealed a big hit to Rishi Sunak’s approval ratings. He now has a net rating of -40, with 20% approving of his performance and 60% disapproving. Keir Starmer’s ratings have also slipped, though less severely, to -3 overall.Voters regard the last week as the worst of the campaign for the Tories.

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