Labour would be swept into power with a landslide of 468 seats, the study forecasts, while the prime minister and several cabinet colleagues could be voted out.
Rishi Sunak's Conservatives are on course to win fewer than 100 seats in the general election, according to a major poll that suggests the party is facing the worst result in its history. A survey of 15,000 people, used to build a seat-by-seat breakdown, indicated the Tories would win in just 98 constituencies in England and get wiped out in Scotland and Wales. Labour's Sir Keir Starmer could be swept into power with a landslide victory of 468 seats, the study for Survation forecast.
The poll highlights the threat posed to the Conservatives by Reform UK, which is forecast to come second in seven seats by polling 8.5% of the overall vote. A model of the likely outcome if Richard Tice's party did not stand, suggested the Tories would win 150 seats - still a crushing defeat, but potentially giving Mr Sunak, or more likely his replacement, a better chance to rebuild.
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