Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau's resignation after over a decade in power is attributed to a combination of factors, including internal party strife and plummeting popularity. The timing of his departure, just weeks before a Trump administration takes office, raises questions about the potential influence of the incoming Republican president's policies towards Canada.
His departure will bring an end to more than a decade of power for the progressive politician and once-darling of the liberal left. It follows infighting in his own party and a slump in Trudeau’s popularity to the point where he trails the leading opposition candidate by over 20 percentage points.
This stretches back to the country’s first prime minister, John A. MacDonald, who resigned in 1873 amid scandal only to be re-elected five years later. William Mackenzie King served three nonconsecutive terms as prime minister in the first half of the 20th century. And Trudeau’s father, Pierre Trudeau, came back after losing the 1979 election to serve a fourth and final term in 1980.
More generally, it seems like Trudeau, despite being the relatively young political age of 53, is out of step with politics at this precise moment in time. Trudeau, much like his father before him, is very much associated with identity politics, focusing on the perceived needs of certain groups over others.
While Trudeau reportedly laughed off a suggestion at Mar-a-Lago that Canada become the “51st state,” back home the remark was seen as a test – would Trudeau stand up for Canada or not? So, in short, you can characterise Trudeau’s relationship with the US as OK under Biden, bad under Trump’s first administration and – potentially – irrelevant under Trump II.The most likely scenario is that the Conservatives will win an election that could take place any time between March and October. Current polling suggests they are on course of winning over 50 per cent of the vote.
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