Broadly speaking, polls show most Americans do want change in many of the areas where Trump has promised sweeping reform. But that’s not the whole story.
US President-elect Donald Trump and his allies have declared that his incoming administration has an “unprecedented” and “historic” mandate. While he won the popular vote by only a small margin, it’s true that voters shifted in his favour across the country and sent him back to the White House. But does that equate to a full-throated endorsement of his policy proposals?
That’s not to say that polling suggests all of Trump’s plans are unpopular – but they aren’t all broadly popular, either. Instead, polling reveals that many Americans hold nuanced views on some of the issues Trump plans to tackle or are unsure how they feel about them.Voters consistently cited the economy as their top issue in polling this year, and more voters said they trusted Trump to deliver on that front than they did Vice President Kamala Harris.
Nteta noted that one-fifth of Americans said they weren’t sure whether they supported or opposed the 60 per cent tariff on Chinese goods. “This somewhat even distribution of support, opposition and a lack of clarity is a reflection of the fact that many Americans don’t really understand what they entail,” he said.
However, some of Trump’s tax proposals are slam dunks. Eliminating taxes on tips, for example? A hit.As part of his efforts to crack down on immigration, Trump has promised a mass deportation effort to expel millions of people in the US without legal permission. When asked simply if they approve of such plans, a majority of Americans across multiple polls have said they do.
This falls in line with long-standing evidence that question wording and specific scenarios around policy proposals can elicit different responses from Americans. Mark Hugo Lopez, director of race and ethnicity research at Pew, said people often hold multifarious views about complex issues that can’t be easily captured by a blunt question like “Do you support mass deportation?”
While this isn’t a decisive stamp of approval, it’s also not a condemnation. It’s more like a shoulder shrug, and that’s not particularly unusual, according to Chase Harrison, who teaches survey research at Harvard University.
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