Conservative collapse ensures Labour is victorious – but the party’s overall vote share has stayed relatively static. These charts explain how the election was won and lost
While the overall vote share for Keir Starmer’s party is only around two points higher than in 2019, their seat tally has doubled because of huge drops in Conservative support.
As well as winning four seats, Reform came in second place in a further 103 constituencies. In 12 of these, it was within 5,000 votes of winning.This is far higher than the performance of previous iterations of Farage’s parties. The Brexit party came in second place in only three constituencies in 2019, although it did not contest Conservative-held seats. While Farage’s Ukip won only one seat in 2015, it came second in 120 constituencies.
The same is true of more than a third of seats in the West Midlands, the East Midlands, the south-east, south-west and Wales. Some of these gains, however, can be explained by the collapse in the Conservative vote. Labour managed to win six of these seats while winning a lower vote share compared with 2019. The most pronounced of these were Burnley, Hyndburn and Bolton North East, which Labour flipped despite dropping more than five points in vote share.
Their wins include seats such as North Shropshire, Honiton and Sidmouth and Chichester, all of which were Tory in 2019 and seats in which the Liberal Democrats enjoyed gains in excess of 25 percentage points.recorded in Brent North in 1997 was thought to be the largest such shift in the UK’s postwar voting history.The biggest Conservative-to-Labour swing has been recorded in South West Norfolk, with a 25.9 percentage point swing.
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