Two clashing forces shape battle for Virginia — and what to expect in 2024

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Two clashing forces shape battle for Virginia — and what to expect in 2024
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Mark Murray is a senior political editor at NBC News.

So much has stayed the same, politically, since Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin won Virginia two years ago — most American voters say the nation is headed in the wrong direction, President Joe Biden remains unpopular and former President Donald Trump continues to loom over the political landscape. But so much has changed, too. Most dramatically, the U.S. Supreme Court overturning the Roe v.

In 2019, Virginia Democrats used former President Donald Trump’s unpopularity and their fired-up base to rout Republicans in the state Legislature, says Mark Rozell, dean of the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University. The picture has shifted significantly since then. “This year is different,” Rozell said. “You have a Democratic president who is underwater in public opinion polls and who has cast a deep shadow, particularly over his own party.

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