How the supply chain breakdown stunted the games industry’s growth
Things aren’t this way because global supplies of cool graphics have been depleted, but because the user bases for next-gen consoles remain absolutely tiny compared to their previous-gen counterparts. PS5’s initial sales were record-breaking, but like basically every other manufacturer in the world, Sony hasn’t been able to keep up with demand. The 30m units it’s sold worldwide to date are dwarfed by PS4’s 117m users. owners are roughly 51m in number.
Now imagine you’re making that decision two to three years ago – the beginning of the dev cycle for many titles releasing right now in 2023. You’ve absolutely got to develop your game primarily for that massive core audience on older-gen consoles. And when you set the minimum specs that low, you can’t really stretch your legs up into what the new hardware can do. PC gamers also feel the effects of that.
And if you had the kind of money it takes to release visually stunning titles that make full use of complex modern GPUs, forget about it. Better to channel those funds into closed console ecosystems. And so we’ve found ourselves inexorably bound to the fortunes of consoles. Since, we’ve rarely seen a developer invest in a project that really makes use of higher-spec PC componentry, console demands be damned.
So that means when next-gen console games have to consider old-gen hardware and release in cross-platform format, that’s really bad news for PC. It takes a lot of specialist knowledge, time, and budget to implement RTX ray tracing and neural network-aided upscaling, and to create high-res art assets on a world scale that a high-end PC can handle. Developers need a considerable incentive to do that.
The good news is that the problems creating next-gen’s stunted growth are already being remedied. Given how long triple-A games take to make now, there’s always a considerable lag to consider when we look at market trends.et al aren’t a fair indication of what the total gaming user base can handle at present and how developers have catered for them. 2023’s big games -et al will give us a better look at how next-gen hardware impacts the look and feel of gaming.
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