Western allies have the power to help extricate the country from the unfavourable conditions it is facing against Russia
of its infantry prevents its army from undertaking large offensive manoeuvres without taking unsustainable levels of losses in both personnel and equipment. So far, it has lost about a quarter of its armoured forces in Ukraine., destroying defended villages and tree lines until Ukrainian troops are forced to withdraw, and then advancing to occupy what has been abandoned. This is slow and resource-intensive, but Russia has enough ammunition to keep up its current rate of fire for several years.
If the rate of Russian casualties can be increased, collapse is possible. The Kremlin has avoided a declared mobilisation, preferring to covertly draw people with military experience back into the ranks. This is because many Russians are actively discussing how they can avoid the draft. Russia hopes that as the Ukrainians burn through the available ammunition, their capacity to resist will wither.
There are several routes to ending these unfavourable conditions. If the Donbas falls to Russia, the return to a linear front may significantly reduce Russia’s artillery advantage, and if Russia then pushes into Ukrainian territory, the battlefield geometry may be reversed,Another shift from the current attritional dynamic may be caused by the provision of. These, coupled with robust “kill chains”, may allow the Ukrainians to begin to destroy Russian artillery with impunity.
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